THE HOUSE MAY BE IN ORDER – AT 8:10 P.M. ET:  RealClearPolitics is showing continued GOP progress in the effort to control the House:

If the election were held today, Republicans would take 212 seats, Dems 184, with 39 toss ups.   It takes 218 for a majority.  So, if RCP is correct, the GOP is within six seats of De-Pelosing the House. 

On the Senate side, RCP continues to show slow progress for the Democrats.  As of now,  Dems would have 49 seats, the GOP 46, with five toss ups.  Taking out the toss ups, RCP estimates a Senate split 52 for the Dems, 48 for the Republicans, for a net gain of seven seats for the GOP.  Obviously, that would not give the Republicans control, but would certainly gum up the works.  To stop a Republican filibuster, the Democrats would need all 52 of their troops, plus eight Republicans, and that is a tall order.

On Tuesday we go into the final two weeks.  It is getting exciting, and very brutal out there.  And still we wonder if Mr. Obama will pull an October surprise.

October 15, 2010